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Judgment and Decision Making by Baruch Fischhoff

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15

THE REAL WORLD

What good is it?

Baruch Fischhoff

© 1996 ACADEMIC PRESS, INC.

Abstract

Any experimental science runs the risk of implosion. The tasks that were created as surrogates for complicated real-world situations can take on lives of their own. When that happens, scientists become fascinated with the nuances of variations within that little world. Their theoretical accounts end up with little place for phenomena that could not be observed there. Extrapolations to other settings may require large doses of conjecture (or leaps of faith). This essay examines some possibilities for understanding the world of the lab by grappling with applied problems in the world outside and perhaps doing a little good along the way.

Choice A

In this task, ...

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